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Wednesday Night NBA Picks

Last night, I took the DEN/UTA over 217. The final score was 80-78. I can’t think of a time where I have been more wrong with a pick; 60 points off! My logic behind the over was simply that all 6 games of this series hit the over and this was the lowest game total yet. What I failed to research was the history of Game 7 totals. Hand up, that’s on me. I refuse to make the same mistake twice in a row.

MIA +5.5 (-110) and MIA TT over 108 (-115)

Just like everyone else, I don’t buy into Milwaukee. J-But is probably my favorite player in the league and it feels like he has that killer instinct that can keep any team he’s on competitive against the best. I’m not saying that Miami will win this game; we saw how the Bucks bounced back after losing to Orlando in Game 1, but I do think they can cover. The Bucks were without Eric Bledsoe Game 1 and it was clear that they missed his defensive presence, as of right now he is listed as questionable. I’m waiting to place the MIA team total bet dependent upon his status. If he’s playing, I’m not taking that bet.

OKC/HOU 1H under 110.5 (-110) and under 217 (-110)

The under has hit in the last six Game 7’s in a row. I like that stat a lot more than looking at the series’ trends. I’m also taking into consideration the up-tick in defensive play during a Game 7. The cherry on top? My brain. I have been on perhaps the grittiest gambling streak of my entire career this past month. From going up 10 units to down 10 units in a matter of hours I somehow have managed to be even when the toll troll comes to collect. I expect nothing different here. I am down and my brain will bail me out.

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